Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
SPA
2 - 0
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
2 - 1
FCP
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 0
NAC
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
FOR
1 - 0
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
TWE
1 - 1
FEY
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
UTR
0 - 3
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
TWE
2 - 1
MVV
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
BVO
0 - 2
TWE
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
TWE
1 - 0
RKC
67%
21%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |