Ajax vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
VOL
1 - 0
AJA
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
AJA
5 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
FEY
2 - 1
AJA
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
PAR
2 - 0
AJA
41%
27%
32%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
VVV
0 - 1
AJA
11%
20%
68%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1994 |
PSV
3 - 2
TWE
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
TWE
0 - 1
VIT
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1994 |
SPA
2 - 5
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1994 |
TWE
4 - 0
WIL
61%
23%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
TWE
4 - 2
MVV
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |