Ajax vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 0
NAC
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
FOR
1 - 0
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1998 |
DZG
0 - 0
AJA
49%
23%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
FCP
2 - 0
VIT
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
MAR
0 - 1
FCP
22%
24%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1998 |
FCP
2 - 2
OLP
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
FCP
2 - 0
FAR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |