Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
5º
3º
18
7º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 3
AJA
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 1
AJA
4%
14%
82%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 5
PSV
45%
22%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 1
SHA
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
RBS
2 - 3
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 2
VOL
35%
28%
38%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 1
OSA
25%
29%
46%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 9
GRO
3%
7%
90%
|
70 | 14 | 56 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BWL
1 - 3
GRO
6%
13%
81%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 1
FCE
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |