Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 5
AJA
10%
16%
74%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AJA
9 - 0
BVO
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 5
AJA
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ZWO
0 - 2
AJA
9%
16%
74%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
AJA
5 - 0
VIT
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
GRO
0 - 1
VIT
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WIL
2 - 1
GRO
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 1
SCH
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
HSV
3 - 1
GRO
47%
24%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PSV
5 - 2
GRO
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |