Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 5
AJA
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
6 - 0
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
13%
19%
67%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 1
RJC
46%
24%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
ADO
3 - 0
GRO
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 3
SCH
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
GRO
24%
23%
53%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UTR
3 - 1
GRO
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |