Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
AJA
5 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
RKC
0 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UTR
1 - 0
AJA
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
GRO
1 - 0
TWE
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 0
SCH
26%
26%
49%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
RBC
1 - 0
GRO
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 0
GRO
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
GRO
1 - 2
RKC
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |