Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
BOS
0 - 1
AJA
22%
22%
56%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
UTR
3 - 1
AJA
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
AJA
5 - 1
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
GRO
3 - 0
NAC
36%
25%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2002 |
WIL
3 - 1
GRO
70%
18%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
AZA
3 - 2
GRO
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
PSV
8 - 0
GRO
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
GRO
2 - 2
UTR
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |