Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
WIL
3 - 2
AJA
21%
25%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1991 |
SPA
0 - 0
AJA
19%
25%
57%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
FEY
0 - 4
AJA
25%
26%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
AJA
5 - 0
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
GRO
2 - 1
RKC
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
GRO
3 - 0
SCH
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1991 |
PSV
1 - 1
GRO
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1990 |
GRO
2 - 1
MVV
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1990 |
NEC
0 - 3
GRO
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |