Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.3%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
ADO
1 - 3
AJA
17%
22%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
AJA
1 - 3
TOT
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
MVV
0 - 2
AJA
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
AJA
9 - 1
GRA
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
GRO
3 - 2
GRA
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
TWE
1 - 1
GRO
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1981 |
GRO
6 - 2
ZWO
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRO
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
GRO
2 - 2
FEY
16%
23%
62%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |