Ajax vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.6%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1973 |
SPA
1 - 2
AJA
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 0
RJC
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
AJA
7 - 2
TEL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
AJA
4 - 0
GRA
92%
5%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
CSK
2 - 0
AJA
38%
24%
38%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1973 |
GRO
0 - 2
AZA
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1973 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRO
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1973 |
GRO
2 - 2
UTR
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
HFC
0 - 2
GRO
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
FEY
7 - 0
GRO
85%
11%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |