Ajax vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
95.6%
Win probability
4.94
Expected goals
10-0
1%
+10
1%
9-0
2.1%
10-1
0.5%
+9
2.6%
8-0
3.8%
9-1
1%
10-2
0.1%
+8
5%
7-0
6.2%
8-1
1.9%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
8.4%
6-0
8.8%
7-1
3.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
<0%
+6
12.4%
5-0
10.7%
6-1
4.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
15.9%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
2.4%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.1%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
2.4%
0.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.2%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.6%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
2-4
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1984 |
SPA
5 - 2
AJA
31%
23%
46%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1984 |
RJC
1 - 1
AJA
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
67%
17%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
33%
25%
43%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1984 |
FCD
1 - 5
GRO
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
HFC
2 - 2
FCD
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1984 |
FCD
0 - 3
FEY
7%
14%
79%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
FOR
4 - 1
FCD
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
FCD
0 - 4
HEL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -2 |