Ajax vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
KOZ
1 - 6
AJA
11%
20%
70%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 2
AJA
56%
23%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ADO
0 - 2
AJA
18%
24%
58%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 2
UTR
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
FEY
4 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 2
ZWO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GAE
3 - 0
EXC
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |