Europa League Group B Round 4

Ajax vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis

Ajax Brighton & Hove Albion
88 ELO 93
13.1% Tilt 24.5%
104º General ELO ranking 57º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
28.5%
Ajax
23.7%
Draw
47.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
Ajax
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.8%
Win probability
Brighton & Hove Albion
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+3%
+7%
Brighton & Hove Albion

ELO progression

Ajax
Brighton & Hove Albion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2023
AJA
Ajax
4 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
75%
16%
10%
88 76 12 0
02 Nov. 2023
AJA
Ajax
2 - 0
FC Volendam
VOL
78%
14%
8%
88 70 18 0
29 Oct. 2023
PSV
PSV
5 - 2
Ajax
AJA
46%
23%
31%
88 88 0 0
26 Oct. 2023
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 0
Ajax
AJA
59%
21%
20%
88 92 4 0
22 Oct. 2023
UTR
Utrecht
4 - 3
Ajax
AJA
20%
22%
58%
88 80 8 0

Matches

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
EVE
Everton
1 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
23%
24%
53%
92 88 4 0
29 Oct. 2023
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 1
Fulham
FUL
63%
21%
16%
93 88 5 -1
26 Oct. 2023
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 0
Ajax
AJA
59%
21%
20%
92 88 4 +1
21 Oct. 2023
MAC
Manchester City
2 - 1
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
83%
12%
5%
92 99 7 0
08 Oct. 2023
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 2
Liverpool
LIV
16%
20%
64%
92 98 6 0