Ajax vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1969 |
AJA
7 - 0
VVD
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
FOR
0 - 1
AJA
10%
15%
75%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
LEX
0 - 0
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 0
SAN
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
VST
1 - 1
SLB
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 0
SPB
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |