Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
BYM
1 - 1
AJA
73%
16%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
AJA
9%
17%
74%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
TEW
0 - 7
AJA
4%
10%
87%
|
87 | 21 | 66 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
AEK
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 2
ZWO
72%
17%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 6
AZA
3%
9%
87%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 3
AZA
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
AZA
1 - 1
FEY
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
HER
3 - 2
AZA
20%
22%
58%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |