Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 1
AJA
12%
18%
71%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ACM
0 - 2
AJA
44%
22%
34%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 1
NEC
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
VVV
0 - 2
AJA
11%
17%
73%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 4
RMA
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
AZA
3 - 0
BAT
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 0
AZA
31%
26%
44%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ADO
0 - 2
AZA
21%
24%
55%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
SHF
1 - 1
AZA
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 2
SCH
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |