Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
PSV
6 - 2
AJA
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
7 - 0
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 3
AJA
19%
22%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
AZA
1 - 2
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 1
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AZA
4 - 1
ADO
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AZA
0 - 0
FEY
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
UTR
0 - 1
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |