Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
VVV
2 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
TWE
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
68%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
1 - 3
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
AZA
1 - 0
HER
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
AZA
1 - 1
RJC
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 3
EVE
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 1
UTR
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
FCN
2 - 1
AZA
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |