Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PSV
2 - 2
AJA
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
CEL
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
5 - 1
VOL
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 3
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
BRU
56%
21%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
AZA
4 - 0
ZWO
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
UTR
0 - 3
AZA
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
AZA
2 - 0
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
PSV
0 - 1
AZA
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
SCH
3 - 1
AZA
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |