Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
TWE
0 - 2
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
45%
24%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
CEL
0 - 1
AJA
40%
24%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 1
RJC
70%
17%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 3
CEL
67%
18%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
AZA
2 - 1
NAC
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
AZA
3 - 0
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 0
AZA
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
GRA
3 - 0
AZA
36%
24%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
AJA
5 - 1
AZA
75%
15%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -2 |