Eredivisie Round 5

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis

Ajax AZ Alkmaar
87 ELO 71
19% Tilt 15.6%
103º General ELO ranking 104º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
80.2%
Ajax
12.8%
Draw
6.9%
AZ Alkmaar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
Ajax
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.9%
Win probability
AZ Alkmaar
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+4%
+7%
AZ Alkmaar

ELO progression

Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2001
TWE
Twente
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
28%
25%
47%
86 78 8 0
26 Aug. 2001
FEY
Feyenoord
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
45%
24%
31%
86 85 1 0
22 Aug. 2001
CEL
Celtic
0 - 1
Ajax
AJA
40%
24%
36%
86 82 4 0
19 Aug. 2001
AJA
Ajax
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
70%
17%
13%
86 80 6 0
08 Aug. 2001
AJA
Ajax
1 - 3
Celtic
CEL
67%
18%
14%
87 83 4 -1

Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2001
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
44%
25%
31%
70 74 4 0
25 Aug. 2001
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
3 - 0
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
60%
22%
18%
70 61 9 0
22 Aug. 2001
VIT
Vitesse
1 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
71%
18%
11%
70 83 13 0
18 Aug. 2001
GRA
De Graafschap
3 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
36%
24%
39%
71 64 7 -1
27 May. 2001
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
75%
15%
11%
73 87 14 -2