Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
AJA
3 - 2
SPA
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2000 |
RJC
3 - 0
AJA
28%
24%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
AJA
5 - 2
NEC
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
AJA
0 - 1
TWE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
FOR
2 - 0
AJA
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2000 |
AZA
2 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
PSV
5 - 1
AZA
76%
14%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2000 |
AZA
2 - 0
BOS
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2000 |
AZA
4 - 0
RKC
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |