Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
ADO
4 - 3
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 0
DIN
96%
3%
1%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
AJA
5 - 1
GRO
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
EXC
2 - 4
AJA
19%
24%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
DIN
0 - 2
AJA
11%
19%
70%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
AZA
6 - 1
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
RBD
0 - 4
AZA
6%
11%
83%
|
87 | 14 | 73 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
ZWO
0 - 3
AZA
12%
17%
71%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 7
AZA
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
AZA
6 - 0
RBD
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 14 | 72 | 0 |