Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
4.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.3%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.4%
3.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
MVV
1 - 1
AJA
17%
24%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1970 |
AJA
4 - 0
NAP
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
NEC
0 - 0
AJA
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
NAP
1 - 0
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
ADO
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ADO
4 - 0
AZA
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
SPA
0 - 0
AZA
70%
18%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
MVV
0 - 1
AZA
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
AZA
1 - 1
FEY
17%
20%
63%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
AZA
1 - 0
SVV
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |