Ajax vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 2
TWE
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
LIV
1 - 0
AJA
62%
19%
19%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FCE
0 - 5
AJA
6%
13%
81%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
AJA
3 - 1
MID
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AJA
5 - 0
HER
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
MID
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 2
VER
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
LIV
0 - 2
ATL
76%
15%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 0
ATL
14%
19%
68%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
46%
23%
31%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |