Ajax vs ASWH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 0
RKC
76%
16%
7%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 1
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 0
UTR
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
ACM
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ASW
1 - 1
ACH
83%
11%
6%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FCS
0 - 4
ASW
12%
18%
70%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ASW
2 - 2
JOD
72%
16%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ASW
4 - 2
DEL
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ASW
1 - 0
ADO
28%
22%
51%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |