Europa League Round 6

Ajax vs Anderlecht analysis

Ajax Anderlecht
88 ELO 88
14.2% Tilt 31.3%
106º General ELO ranking 153º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
56.4%
Ajax
21.1%
Draw
22.5%
Anderlecht

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
Ajax
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.5%
Win probability
Anderlecht
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax
+3%
-5%
Anderlecht

ELO progression

Ajax
Anderlecht
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax
Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2009
AJA
Ajax
3 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
77%
15%
8%
88 75 13 0
06 Dec. 2009
UTR
Utrecht
2 - 0
Ajax
AJA
17%
21%
63%
88 74 14 0
02 Dec. 2009
TIM
Politehnica Timisoara
1 - 2
Ajax
AJA
21%
23%
57%
89 80 9 -1
29 Nov. 2009
VIT
Vitesse
1 - 5
Ajax
AJA
16%
20%
64%
88 69 19 +1
22 Nov. 2009
AJA
Ajax
5 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
70%
18%
12%
88 79 9 0

Matches

Anderlecht
Anderlecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2009
KVC
KVC Westerlo
0 - 2
Anderlecht
AND
21%
25%
54%
88 70 18 0
06 Dec. 2009
CER
Cercle Brugge
1 - 3
Anderlecht
AND
23%
25%
52%
88 71 17 0
02 Dec. 2009
AND
Anderlecht
0 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb
DZG
57%
22%
21%
88 85 3 0
27 Nov. 2009
AND
Anderlecht
1 - 0
KV Kortrijk
KVK
75%
16%
9%
88 71 17 0
21 Nov. 2009
AND
Anderlecht
3 - 1
KSV Roeselare
KSV
80%
14%
6%
88 63 25 0