Ajax vs FC Amsterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
UTR
1 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
AZA
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1976 |
TWE
3 - 0
AJA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
GRA
2 - 1
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
AJA
0 - 0
ADO
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
AMS
0 - 0
TEL
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
TWE
3 - 1
AMS
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
AMS
3 - 4
EIN
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
GAE
1 - 1
AMS
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
AMS
1 - 2
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |