Ajax vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
RKC
2 - 3
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
17%
20%
62%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 3
AJA
34%
24%
43%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
5 - 0
VIT
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 0
ARI
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 1
BHA
11%
18%
71%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 1
AEK
18%
25%
57%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AEK
3 - 0
LAM
76%
17%
7%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 2
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |