Ajax vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
70%
18%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
RKC
2 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
20%
21%
58%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
4 - 3
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
5 - 0
VIT
69%
18%
14%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 0
ARI
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 1
BHA
12%
19%
68%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 1
AEK
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AEK
3 - 0
LAM
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 2
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |