Ajax vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
STB
2 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RKC
0 - 2
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 0
STB
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
RJC
75%
15%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VVV
0 - 3
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ADO
2 - 1
SCH
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ADO
2 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PSV
7 - 0
ADO
81%
12%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ADO
2 - 2
RJC
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 1
ADO
35%
24%
41%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |