Ajax Lasnamäe vs Rakvere JK Tarvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
77.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
6 - 2
AJA
82%
11%
7%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 2
TJK
9%
14%
77%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 6
TKL
50%
20%
30%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCH
7 - 3
AJA
67%
16%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AJA
1 - 5
TIN
8%
13%
80%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Rakvere JK Tarvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
RAK
4 - 0
TKL
81%
12%
7%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TIN
2 - 3
RAK
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RAK
12 - 0
WAR
92%
6%
2%
|
45 | 5 | 40 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RAK
1 - 2
MAA
8%
15%
77%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 2
RAK
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |