Ajax Lasnamäe vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
AJA
40%
23%
37%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 3
LOT
54%
21%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
5 - 0
FLO
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TUL
0 - 3
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 1
TJK
48%
23%
28%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
AJA
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
KIV
1 - 2
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
LEV
15%
20%
65%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 1
FLO
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TUL
2 - 8
PAR
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +2 |