II Liiga Este / Norte round 22

Ajax Lasnamäe vs Maardu FC analysis

Ajax Lasnamäe Maardu FC
18 ELO 65
29.8% Tilt 24.5%
17948º General ELO ranking 900º
107º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
4.8%
Ajax Lasnamäe
11.2%
Draw
83.9%
Maardu FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
Ajax Lasnamäe
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.8%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
83.9%
Win probability
Maardu FC
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.3%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ajax Lasnamäe
-76%
+9%
Maardu FC

ELO progression

Ajax Lasnamäe
Maardu FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajax Lasnamäe
Ajax Lasnamäe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2023
FCT
FC Tallinn II
2 - 0
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
83%
10%
7%
18 35 17 0
30 Sep. 2023
WAR
Warrior Valga
0 - 9
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
11%
13%
76%
18 9 9 0
24 Sep. 2023
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
3 - 0
K-Järve JK Järve III
KJA
93%
5%
2%
18 9 9 0
16 Sep. 2023
JFP
Johvi Phoenix
6 - 2
Ajax Lasnamäe
AJA
83%
11%
6%
18 40 22 0
10 Sep. 2023
AJA
Ajax Lasnamäe
4 - 4
Ararat
FCA
35%
20%
45%
17 21 4 +1

Matches

Maardu FC
Maardu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2023
MAA
Maardu FC
9 - 0
K-Järve JK Järve III
KJA
90%
7%
3%
65 7 58 0
30 Sep. 2023
JFP
Johvi Phoenix
3 - 2
Maardu FC
MAA
10%
15%
75%
65 38 27 0
24 Sep. 2023
MAA
Maardu FC
8 - 1
Ararat
FCA
92%
6%
2%
65 20 45 0
16 Sep. 2023
FHT
FC Helios Voru
2 - 2
Maardu FC
MAA
5%
12%
83%
65 25 40 0
10 Sep. 2023
MAA
Maardu FC
3 - 3
Viimsi JK II
VJK
90%
7%
3%
65 39 26 0