Ajaccio vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
66.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.6%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PSG
4 - 1
AJA
76%
16%
9%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 1
DIJ
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 0
BRE
42%
30%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MPL
3 - 0
AJA
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
NIC
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ETG
2 - 0
MAR
16%
23%
61%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
TFC
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
MAR
13%
22%
65%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
INT
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAL
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |