Ajaccio vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
AJA
61%
22%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
BAS
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GIR
4 - 0
AJA
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 3
MAR
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 1
AJA
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 0
REN
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
MPL
0 - 2
LOR
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 0
NIC
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ETG
0 - 4
LOR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
LOR
0 - 0
REI
53%
25%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |