Aische vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aische
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AIS
2 - 0
WEP
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
AIS
30%
21%
49%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ARQ
0 - 3
AIS
28%
20%
52%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AIS
1 - 1
GRA
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AIS
3 - 0
FOS
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LIG
3 - 4
BIE
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
LIG
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
WEP
6 - 1
LIG
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LIG
0 - 1
ONH
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 0
PRO
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |