Airdrieonians vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airdrieonians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
FAL
3 - 2
AIR
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AIR
1 - 2
FOR
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 0
AIR
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AIR
2 - 0
ALB
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
AIR
1 - 2
AYR
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
QOS
2 - 2
LIV
28%
23%
50%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 1
LIV
34%
24%
42%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 1
PAR
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 3
LIV
40%
24%
37%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |