Airbus UK vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
12º
12º
41
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
QPA
0 - 3
AIR
6%
11%
84%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
AIR
0 - 6
BAL
17%
23%
61%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
AIR
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
AIR
4 - 4
NEW
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PON
1 - 0
AIR
39%
23%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RIS
1 - 5
PEN
6%
12%
83%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
PEN
36%
26%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
PON
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 1
ABE
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
AAF
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |