Airbus UK vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 3
AIR
29%
25%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
AIR
5 - 3
ABE
51%
24%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
AIR
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 2
BAL
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 3
AIR
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
HAV
2 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 4
HAV
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
HAV
0 - 0
ABE
36%
27%
38%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
5 - 3
HAV
81%
13%
7%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |