Airbus UK vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
65.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+59%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AIR
5 - 0
CAE
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
AIR
3 - 0
BST
88%
8%
4%
|
47 | 6 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
ABE
1 - 2
AIR
55%
21%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
RTW
2 - 4
AIR
16%
20%
65%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
AIR
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
LLA
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
CON
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
CON
2 - 2
TNS
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
CON
2 - 0
BAN
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |