Airbus UK vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+133%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
AIR
0 - 1
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
AIR
0 - 1
POR
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CWM
1 - 1
AIR
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
AIR
2 - 2
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 1
AIR
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
WEL
1 - 4
ABE
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
ABE
3 - 1
CWM
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
29%
25%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAR
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 1
ABE
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |