4ª Catalana Playoffs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Aiguafreda vs Seva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.1%
17.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aiguafreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
SEV
3 - 2
AIG
29%
21%
51%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
VRR
0 - 2
AIG
9%
14%
77%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
AIG
5 - 1
VIL
93%
5%
2%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
COL
2 - 3
AIG
17%
17%
65%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
AIG
4 - 1
FIG
94%
4%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Seva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
SEV
3 - 2
AIG
29%
21%
51%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
CTS
1 - 10
SEV
8%
12%
80%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SEV
3 - 1
TAR
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SEV
3 - 2
UET
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
VRR
0 - 4
SEV
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |