Aiglon vs US Diamantinoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
10º
4º
27
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aiglon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 2
AIG
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GOL
1 - 2
AIG
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AMI
10 - 0
AIG
83%
14%
4%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AIG
2 - 1
CPE
54%
20%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GOO
1 - 6
AIG
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
US Diamantinoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
USD
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
USD
2 - 1
TRE
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
USD
3 - 0
GOL
60%
22%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CPE
0 - 2
USD
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USD
5 - 0
GOO
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |