Aigle Noir vs Valencia de Leogane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
AIG
1 - 1
PET
38%
29%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BAL
1 - 0
AIG
41%
31%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AIG
0 - 3
ASM
39%
31%
30%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
AIG
0 - 1
RAC
39%
30%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 1
AIG
46%
28%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 1
BAL
48%
29%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 0
VAL
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
CSH
4 - 2
VAL
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
RAC
3 - 0
VAL
51%
27%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VAL
4 - 0
PET
42%
29%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |