Aigle Noir vs Baltimore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 1
AIG
40%
30%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 0
AIG
47%
28%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
AIG
1 - 1
GON
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AIG
2 - 0
ASM
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
AIG
2 - 2
CAP
45%
31%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
AME
38%
30%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
BAL
42%
29%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
FIC
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 0
CAP
47%
31%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
ASM
46%
30%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |