AIA Tranbjerg vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.9%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
87.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.3%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14.1%
0-5
6.4%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
8.3%
0-6
3.3%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.2%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MID
3 - 2
AAF
23%
22%
55%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 1
IFL
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
VEJ
0 - 0
AAF
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 0
MID
61%
21%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
FA2
0 - 2
AAF
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |