Landesliga Hamburg - Hansa Round 20

Ahrensburger TSV vs Vorwärts-Wacker 04 analysis

Ahrensburger TSV Vorwärts-Wacker 04
13 ELO 28
2.2% Tilt 12.4%
50777º General ELO ranking 5940º
2504º Country ELO ranking 301º
ELO win probability
9.2%
Ahrensburger TSV
12.9%
Draw
77.9%
Vorwärts-Wacker 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
Ahrensburger TSV
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
77.8%
Win probability
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.2%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ahrensburger TSV
+56%
+127%
Vorwärts-Wacker 04

ELO progression

Ahrensburger TSV
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ahrensburger TSV
Ahrensburger TSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2024
OST
Oststeinbeker SV
2 - 4
Ahrensburger TSV
ATS
56%
19%
25%
12 13 1 0
26 Nov. 2023
ATS
Ahrensburger TSV
2 - 2
Bramfelder SV
BRA
12%
16%
72%
11 20 9 +1
19 Nov. 2023
CHB
Concordia Hamburg II
5 - 3
Ahrensburger TSV
ATS
43%
21%
36%
12 11 1 -1
12 Nov. 2023
ASV
ASV Hamburg
4 - 2
Ahrensburger TSV
ATS
48%
20%
32%
13 12 1 -1
05 Nov. 2023
ATS
Ahrensburger TSV
3 - 4
Rahlstedter SC
RSC
16%
18%
67%
13 22 9 0

Matches

Vorwärts-Wacker 04
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
7 - 0
Harburger TB
HTB
95%
4%
1%
27 10 17 0
19 Nov. 2023
VIE
SC Vier- und Marschlande
2 - 3
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
VOW
11%
14%
74%
26 15 11 +1
11 Nov. 2023
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
5 - 1
Curslack-Neuengamme
CUR
77%
13%
11%
25 19 6 +1
04 Nov. 2023
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
3 - 0
SV Altengamme
SVA
84%
10%
7%
26 18 8 -1
28 Oct. 2023
VOW
Vorwärts-Wacker 04
5 - 1
Lohbrügge
LOH
77%
13%
10%
26 20 6 0