Ahlerstedt vs TuS Harsefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SVD
0 - 0
AHO
49%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SVE
3 - 0
AHO
49%
21%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AHO
1 - 1
MTL
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SEL
3 - 1
AHO
54%
21%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
AHO
2 - 2
OTT
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Harsefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
THA
0 - 0
ROT
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
THA
1 - 1
TSE
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
HAU
2 - 0
THA
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
THA
4 - 1
CUX
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TUE
6 - 2
THA
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -2 |