Ahlerstedt vs TSV Gellersen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TSE
0 - 1
AHO
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AHO
3 - 0
TUE
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MTL
1 - 4
AHO
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AHO
5 - 0
LAN
86%
10%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VER
3 - 2
AHO
30%
23%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Gellersen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TGE
3 - 3
MTL
12%
17%
72%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 2
TGE
50%
22%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VER
4 - 1
TGE
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TGE
1 - 0
VWE
45%
22%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
TUE
0 - 1
TGE
77%
14%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |