Ahlerstedt vs Ottersberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ahlerstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AHO
3 - 5
GIF
52%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
AHO
8 - 1
BWB
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
RWC
2 - 2
AHO
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
AHO
1 - 1
SVG
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
TGS
1 - 1
AHO
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ottersberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
OTT
3 - 0
RWC
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SVG
0 - 3
OTT
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
OTT
1 - 1
TGS
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FTB
1 - 2
OTT
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
OTT
1 - 3
LSK
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |